May 18, 2006

"I believe it can be done," Kim said of efforts to win over South Korean FTA detractors before the March 2007 deadline to conclude negotiations. But to do it, he added, will require a considerable political effort by leaders in both countries.

In the U.S., Kim began, there's bipartisan support for an FTA and though some industries-like agriculture and manufacturing-are skeptical, none are openly opposed. In South Korea however, though polls show the majority of voters supporting an FTA, Kim says many well-funded, well-organized industry groups-such as farmers, unions and filmmakers-are determined to scuttle any deal. Furthermore, many non-industry NGOs vehemently oppose the deal for anti-American ideological reasons.

Because President Roh's ruling Uri party is cautious about upsetting such powerful constituencies in an election year, the firm leadership necessary to solidify public support has been lacking. Prominent members of the Uri party have even come out against an FTA. Kim suggested that President Roh use his considerable influence to bring them back into the fold, while conducting a larger campaign to explain the FTA's benefits to voters.

Kim said American officials should avoid making inflammatory public statements that could aggravate anti-American sentiment. American trade officials should also craft their negotiating positions with South Korean sensitivities in mind. Many South Koreans fear that an FTA will flood the country with cheap American rice, endangering farmers' livelihoods. Many are also resentful of American reluctance to import goods made at the Kaesong joint-industrial complex in North Korea, perceiving it as a gesture of opposition to Korean unification. He suggested flexibility on these points in particular will be key.

"Accommodating Korea's positions," said Kim in closing, "would go a long way to helping the FTA's prospects in Korea."